MISTRESS CARRIE'S BLOG

Oscar Predictions

After my luck in predicting the Grammy's, i thought I would try my hand at the Acadamy Awards...

Disclaimer... I have not been to the movies in AGES! I haven't seen any of these movies... It's the first time that this has happened. i love movies... I just haven't had the time. So, I am choosing my picks based on what I have seen and read in papers, on TV and online. The Acadamy is somewhat predictable about who will be denied on Oscar night. People like Brad Pitt and Anjelina Jolie have time left in their careers to win more... they each have one already. The Acadamy is all about comebacks, and rewarding long careers, with an Oscar. Here are my guesses... Compare them with the winners list Sunday Night! I think I'll go 75% correct! maybe 80%! Better odds than the stock market!

Performance by an Actor in a Leading Role

Richard  Jenkins
Richard Jenkins
THE VISITOR

Frank  Langella
Frank Langella
FROST/NIXON

Sean  Penn
Sean Penn
MILK

Brad  Pitt
Brad Pitt
THE CURIOUS CASE OF BENJAMIN BUTTON

Mickey  Rourke
Mickey Rourke
THE WRESTLER

Mickey Rourke is almost a lock on this one. Hollywood loves good 'comeback story'. The only person that could take it away from him is Frank Langella, because people think he's due.

Performance by an Actor in a Supporting Role

 Josh  Brolin
Josh Brolin
MILK

Robert  Downey Jr.
Robert Downey Jr.
TROPIC THUNDER

Philip Seymour  Hoffman
Philip Seymour Hoffman
DOUBT

Heath  Ledger
Heath Ledger
THE DARK KNIGHT

Michael   Shannon

Michael Shannon
REVOLUTIONARY ROAD

Two Words: Heath Leger

Performance by an Actress in a Leading Role

Anne  Hathaway
Anne Hathaway
RACHEL GETTING MARRIED

Angelina  Jolie
Angelina Jolie
CHANGELING

Melissa  Leo
Melissa Leo
FROZEN RIVER

Meryl  Streep
Meryl Streep
DOUBT

Kate  Winslet
Kate Winslet
THE READER

Kate Winslet has been nominated for Oscar's several times, and has never won. She's won every other award this year, and i think the Acadamy wants to reward her.

Performance by an Actress in a Supporting Role

Amy  Adams
Amy Adams
DOUBT

Penélope  Cruz
Penélope Cruz
VICKY CRISTINA BARCELONA

Viola  Davis
Viola Davis
DOUBT

Taraji P. Henson
Taraji P. Henson
THE CURIOUS CASE OF BENJAMIN BUTTON

Marisa  Tomei
Marisa Tomei
THE WRESTLER

Viola Davis is going to take this one... She has been getting RAVE reviews for this performance. It would be great to see Marisa Tomei win for playing a stripper!

Best Animated Feature Film of the Year

BOLT
BOLT

KUNG FU PANDA
KUNG FU PANDA

WALL-E
WALL-E

Wall-E has it hands down!

Achievement in Art Direction

CHANGELING
CHANGELING

THE CURIOUS CASE OF BENJAMIN BUTTON
THE CURIOUS CASE OF BENJAMIN BUTTON

THE DARK KNIGHT
THE DARK KNIGHT

THE DUCHESS
THE DUCHESS

REVOLUTIONARY ROAD
REVOLUTIONARY ROAD

The Curious Case of Benjamin Button is going to win all of the Art/Effects awards, they found a way to make Brad Pitt ugly!

Achievement in Cinematography

CHANGELING
CHANGELING

THE CURIOUS CASE OF BENJAMIN BUTTON
THE CURIOUS CASE OF BENJAMIN BUTTON

THE DARK KNIGHT
THE DARK KNIGHT

THE READER
THE READER

SLUMDOG MILLIONAIRE
SLUMDOG MILLIONAIRE

Slumdog Millionare will get this, this movie is going to win big!

Achievement in Costume Design

AUSTRALIA
AUSTRALIA

THE CURIOUS CASE OF BENJAMIN BUTTON
THE CURIOUS CASE OF BENJAMIN BUTTON

THE DUCHESS
THE DUCHESS

MILK
MILK

REVOLUTIONARY ROAD
REVOLUTIONARY ROAD

Benjamin Button take it... This film went through 80 years worth of costumes

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Achievement in Directing

THE CURIOUS CASE OF BENJAMIN BUTTON
THE CURIOUS CASE OF BENJAMIN BUTTON

FROST/NIXON
FROST/NIXON

MILK
MILK

THE READER
THE READER

SLUMDOG MILLIONAIRE
SLUMDOG MILLIONAIRE

Slumdog Millionare, everyone loves this movie!

Best Documentary Feature

THE BETRAYAL (NERAKHOON)
THE BETRAYAL (NERAKHOON)

ENCOUNTERS AT THE END OF THE WORLD
ENCOUNTERS AT THE END OF THE WORLD

THE GARDEN
THE GARDEN

MAN ON WIRE
MAN ON WIRE

TROUBLE THE WATER
TROUBLE THE WATER

Man On Wire, this guy was nuts!

Best Documentary Short Subject

THE CONSCIENCE OF NHEM EN
THE CONSCIENCE OF NHEM EN

THE FINAL INCH
THE FINAL INCH

SMILE PINKI
SMILE PINKI

THE WITNESS - FROM THE BALCONY OF ROOM 306
THE WITNESS - FROM THE BALCONY OF ROOM 306

The Witness. I'm guessing here, I haven't seen any of them!

Achievement in Film Editing

THE CURIOUS CASE OF BENJAMIN BUTTON
THE CURIOUS CASE OF BENJAMIN BUTTON

THE DARK KNIGHT
THE DARK KNIGHT

FROST/NIXON
FROST/NIXON

MILK
MILK

SLUMDOG MILLIONAIRE
SLUMDOG MILLIONAIRE

Slumdog Millionaire, they are going home with an arm full of Oscars

Best Foreign Language Film of the Year

The Baader Meinhof Complex
The Baader Meinhof Complex

The Class
The Class

Departures
Departures

Revanche
Revanche

Waltz With Bashir
Waltz With Bashir

Again, I am guessing. Hey, I picked the Polka Grammy blind! Waltz with Bashir

Achievement in Makeup

THE CURIOUS CASE OF BENJAMIN BUTTON
THE CURIOUS CASE OF BENJAMIN BUTTON

THE DARK KNIGHT
THE DARK KNIGHT

 THE GOLDEN ARMY
HELLBOY II: THE GOLDEN ARMY

Benjamin Button. Ugly Brad Pitt=Oscar!!

Achievement in Music Written for Motion Pictures (Original Score)

THE CURIOUS CASE OF BENJAMIN BUTTON
THE CURIOUS CASE OF BENJAMIN BUTTON

DEFIANCE
DEFIANCE

MILK
MILK

SLUMDOG MILLIONAIRE
SLUMDOG MILLIONAIRE

WALL-E
WALL-E

This one is going to be close, Wall-E could win it, but I think Slumdog is going to sweep up!

Achievement in Music Written for Motion Pictures (Original Song)

WALL-E
"Down to Earth"
WALL-E

SLUMDOG MILLIONAIRE
"Jai Ho"
SLUMDOG MILLIONAIRE

SLUMDOG MILLIONAIRE
"O Saya"
SLUMDOG MILLIONAIRE

Slumdog, I'm going with the odds here... Jai Ho

Best Motion Picture of the Year

THE CURIOUS CASE OF BENJAMIN BUTTON
THE CURIOUS CASE OF BENJAMIN BUTTON

FROST/NIXON
FROST/NIXON

MILK
MILK

THE READER
THE READER

SLUMDOG MILLIONAIRE
SLUMDOG MILLIONAIRE

I feel bad saying that Frost/Nixon and Milk are going to be shut out, unless Frank Langella wins over Mickey Rourke... Long shot! But, I think Slumdog will take this one too. And it's the big one to win!

Best Animated Short Film

La Maison en Petits Cubes
La Maison en Petits Cubes

LAVATORY - LOVESTORY
LAVATORY - LOVESTORY

OKTAPODI
OKTAPODI

PRESTO
PRESTO

THIS WAY UP
THIS WAY UP

Octopod... People like 'cute'

Best Live Action Short Film

AUF DER STRECKE (ON THE LINE)
AUF DER STRECKE (ON THE LINE)

MANON ON THE ASPHALT
MANON ON THE ASPHALT

NEW BOY
NEW BOY

THE PIG
THE PIG

SPIELZEUGLAND (TOYLAND)
SPIELZEUGLAND (TOYLAND)

Since I haven't seen any of these either... New Boy is my guess. Not very scientific, I know.

Achievement in Sound Editing

THE DARK KNIGHT
THE DARK KNIGHT

IRON MAN
IRON MAN

SLUMDOG MILLIONAIRE
SLUMDOG MILLIONAIRE

WALL-E
WALL-E

WANTED
WANTED

Wall-E is the only one with a chance to take it from Slumdog.

Achievement in Sound Mixing

THE CURIOUS CASE OF BENJAMIN BUTTON
THE CURIOUS CASE OF BENJAMIN BUTTON

THE DARK KNIGHT
THE DARK KNIGHT

SLUMDOG MILLIONAIRE
SLUMDOG MILLIONAIRE

WALL-E
WALL-E

WANTED
WANTED

Same answer as above

Achievement in Visual Effects

THE CURIOUS CASE OF BENJAMIN BUTTON
THE CURIOUS CASE OF BENJAMIN BUTTON

THE DARK KNIGHT
THE DARK KNIGHT

IRON MAN
IRON MAN

Benjamin Button

Adapted Screenplay

THE CURIOUS CASE OF BENJAMIN BUTTON
THE CURIOUS CASE OF BENJAMIN BUTTON

DOUBT
DOUBT

FROST/NIXON
FROST/NIXON

THE READER
THE READER

SLUMDOG MILLIONAIRE
SLUMDOG MILLIONAIRE

Not going to be close... Slumdog, it's going to be a bloodbath

Original Screenplay

FROZEN RIVER
FROZEN RIVER

HAPPY-GO-LUCKY
HAPPY-GO-LUCKY

IN BRUGES
IN BRUGES

MILK
MILK

WALL-E
WALL-E

I think Wall-E will win this one... They gotta let him win one!